Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.117655 0.131118 0.144890 0.159992 0.176050 0.192578 0.210837
2024-10-20 0.099542 0.118059 0.137705 0.159971 0.184380 0.210206 0.239476
2024-10-27 0.085072 0.106872 0.130778 0.158662 0.190025 0.223960 0.263209
2024-11-03 0.075166 0.099572 0.127148 0.160128 0.198040 0.239830 0.288961
2024-11-10 0.068362 0.095067 0.126061 0.163949 0.208315 0.257983 0.317159
2024-11-17 0.060520 0.088546 0.121980 0.163754 0.213561 0.270148 0.338422
2024-11-24 0.055915 0.085536 0.121723 0.167773 0.223499 0.287570 0.365651
2024-12-01 0.050579 0.081102 0.119324 0.168876 0.229731 0.300522 0.387629
2024-12-08 0.045219 0.076161 0.115904 0.168394 0.233797 0.310743 0.406301
2024-12-15 0.041065 0.072479 0.113795 0.169299 0.239360 0.322613 0.426842
2024-12-22 0.036682 0.068097 0.110466 0.168396 0.242491 0.331421 0.443654
2024-12-29 0.034289 0.066353 0.110490 0.171681 0.250756 0.346398 0.467841
2025-01-05 0.031027 0.063147 0.108448 0.172284 0.255760 0.357613 0.487838
2025-01-12 0.027826 0.059747 0.105924 0.172079 0.259618 0.367360 0.506048
2025-01-19 0.024565 0.055945 0.102593 0.170597 0.261690 0.374804 0.521406
2025-01-26 0.022453 0.053807 0.101510 0.172061 0.267517 0.386898 0.542471
2025-02-02 0.021186 0.052973 0.102264 0.176015 0.276593 0.403089 0.568643
2025-02-09 0.018982 0.050297 0.100109 0.175784 0.280055 0.412147 0.585971
2025-02-16 0.018010 0.049735 0.101105 0.179969 0.289392 0.428687 0.612659
2025-02-23 0.016435 0.047899 0.100026 0.181112 0.294601 0.439941 0.632760
2025-03-02 0.014653 0.045470 0.097875 0.180601 0.297497 0.448184 0.649070
2025-03-09 0.013315 0.043767 0.096776 0.181543 0.302319 0.458887 0.668483
2025-03-16 0.011752 0.041405 0.094469 0.180597 0.304476 0.466089 0.683450